AI-augmented work moves collectively towards areas richest in data

Artificial IntelligenceHuman + Machine

That's an observation from "Artificial intelligence tools expand scientistsimpact but contract sciences focus," an article by 郝千越, Fengli Xu, Yong LI and James Evans that has been circulating as a preprint for some time (lnkd.in/g7i6qjT5) and is now published in Nature Magazine (paywalled at lnkd.in/g9tbCSRa).

The abstract says it concisely: "adoption of AI in science presents what seems to be a paradox: an expansion of individual scientists’ impact but a contraction in collective science’s reach, as AI-augmented work moves collectively towards areas richest in data. With reduced follow-on engagement, AI tools seem to automate established fields rather than explore new ones, highlighting a tension between personal advancement and collective scientific progress".

This can lead to systemic self-reinforcement of certain areas, in a way reminiscent of the drunken person looking for their car keys on a moonless night under the streetlight not because that's where they are likely to be located but because that's where the light is shining. Imagine that during a drunkenness epidemic everyone is looking for their car keys under the same lamppost: a reasonable policy would be to add more lighting to that area. Or consider Wald's bullet holes in the wings of returning planes during WWII. But here scientists (may) have agency: they can and should create AI-ready datasets that touch upon new fields. The problem is one of incentive: if individual researchers can increase their "impact" (here, the "production and visibility of [their] science"), why bother? And dataset creators need to be recognized and rewarded, outstanding scientists such as Fei-Fei Li (ImageNet) and Margaret Oakley Dayhoff (ProteinDB), whose work enabled AI breakthroughs in science.