Daron Acemoglu’s paper
Thank you 🔮Kes Sampanthar ✨ for your read on this paper. All the assumptions made by Daron, all the things he neglects, suggest a linear approximation whereby he applies a very short term gradient (most gains will come from cost savings) and assumes that trajectory will continue. The paper's assumptions and conclusions may be valid over a very short time scale (probably expired when the paper gets published) but fail to capture the nonlinearities and explosive potential enabled by AI, which could play out much faster than 10 years. To list a couple, ignoring the inflection point observed in science, ignoring combinatorial innovation, ignoring nonlinear synergies in AI-human interactions (real augmented intelligence and collective intelligence), render the paper less interesting or practically relevant.